Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: May 6, 2023
Weekly Commentary:
The first rankings for the hilarious women of supporting actress (limited) have been released with Niecy Nash-Betts sitting in the top spot for Netflix’s “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story,” along with Claire Danes close behind for FX’s “Fleishman is in Trouble.”
We said farewell to ABC’s “The Goldbergs” this week, and hoping the TV Academy will finally remember that Wendi McLendon-Covey’s memorable Beverly has never been nominated, and it’s time she is.
Category switches and scoops included Guy Fieri’s “Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” moving back to structured reality and the TV Academy denying Apple’s “Schmigadoon!” switch to scripted variety from comedy series.
Down below, you can see the first projections for outstanding reality competition, structured, host, short form (comedy, drama, variety)
The writers’ strike will obviously have great implications for the industry and the Emmy season. NBC’s “Saturday Night Live” was delayed indefinitely when Kieran Culkin and Jennifer Coolidge were set to take the stage.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
*** = PREDICTED WINNER
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Drama Series
Image Credit: HBO “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
“The Crown” (Netflix)
“House of the Dragon” (HBO)
“The Last of Us” (HBO)
“The Old Man” (FX)
“Succession” (HBO) ***
“The White Lotus” (HBO)
“Yellowjackets” (Showtime) -
Comedy Series
Image Credit: Phillip Caruso/Peacock “Abbott Elementary” (ABC) ***
“Barry” (HBO)
“The Bear” (FX)
“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
“Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+) -
Limited or Anthology Series
“Beef” (Netflix)
“Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
“Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
“Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)
“Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)
“Love & Death” (HBO) *** -
TV Movie
Image Credit: ©Hulu/Courtesy Everett Collection “Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas” (NBC)
“Fire Island” (Hulu)
“Prey” (Hulu)
“Reality” (HBO)
“Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel) *** -
Lead Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: Des Willie / Lucasfilm Ltd. Jeff Bridges
“The Old Man” (FX)
Brian Cox
“Succession” (HBO)
Kieran Culkin ***
“Succession” (HBO)
Diego Luna
“Andor” (Disney+)
Pedro Pascal
“The Last of Us” (HBO)
Jeremy Strong
“Succession” (HBO) -
Lead Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: HBO Bill Hader
“Barry” (HBO)
Steve Martin
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Martin Short
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Jason Segel
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Jason Sudeikis
“Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
Jeremy Allen White ***
“The Bear” (FX) -
Lead Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: FX Steve Carell
“The Patient” (Hulu)
Taron Egerton
“Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
Evan Peters ***
“Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
Daniel Radcliffe
“Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
Michael Shannon
“George & Tammy” (Showtime)
Steven Yeun
“Beef” (Netflix) -
Guest Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: Greg Lewis/AMC/Sony Pictures Television Murray Bartlett
“The Last of Us” (HBO)
Bryan Cranston
“Better Call Saul” (AMC)
James Cromwell
“Succession” (HBO)
Arian Moayed
“Succession” (HBO)
Nick Offerman ***
“The Last of Us” (HBO)
Andy Serkis
“Andor” (Disney+)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Guest Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: Courtesy of NBC Jon Bernthal
“The Bear” (FX)
Adrien Brody
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Nathan Lane
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Steve Martin & Martin Short
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Leslie Odom Jr.
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Pedro Pascal ***
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Lead Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: HBO Sharon Horgan
“Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
Melanie Lynskey
“Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
Helen Mirren
“1923” (Paramount+)
Bella Ramsey
“The Last of Us” (HBO)
Sarah Snook ***
“Succession” (HBO)
Imelda Staunton
“The Crown” (Netflix) -
Lead Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: Hulu Rachel Brosnahan
“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
Quinta Brunson ***
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Bridget Everett
“Somebody Somewhere” (HBO)
Elle Fanning
“The Great” (Hulu)
Natasha Lyonne
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Jenna Ortega
“Wednesday” (Netflix) -
Lead Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: HULU Jessica Chastain
“George & Tammy” (Showtime)
Kathryn Hahn
“Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu)
Riley Keough
“Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)
Elizabeth Olsen ***
“Love & Death” (HBO)
Rachel Weisz
“Dead Ringers” (Prime Video)
Ali Wong
“Beef” (Netflix) -
Guest Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: Liane Hentscher Cherry Jones
“Succession” (HBO)
Melanie Lynskey
“The Last of Us” (HBO)
Ella Purnell
“Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
Fiona Shaw
“Andor” (Disney+)
Anna Torv
“The Last of Us” (HBO)
Harriet Walter ***
“Succession” (HBO)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Guest Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: Peacock Quinta Brunson
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Taraji P. Henson ***
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Cherry Jones
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Judith Light
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Shirley MacLaine
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Sarah Niles
“Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Supporting Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: Graeme Hunter F. Murray Abraham
“The White Lotus” (HBO)
John Lithgow
“The Old Man” (FX)
Matthew Macfadyen
“Succession” (HBO)
Jonathan Pryce
“The Crown” (Netflix)
Alan Ruck
“Succession” (HBO)
Alexander Skarsgård ***
“Succession” (HBO)
Stellan Skarsgård
“Andor” (Disney+)
Matt Smith
“House of the Dragon” (HBO) -
Supporting Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: Apple TV+ Anthony Carrigan
“Barry” (HBO)
Phil Dunster
“Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
Harrison Ford ***
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Brett Goldstein
“Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
Ebon Moss-Bachrach
“The Bear” (FX)
Tony Shalhoub
“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
Tyler James Williams
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Henry Winkler
“Barry” (HBO) -
Supporting Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: HBO Murray Bartlett
“Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)
Domhnall Gleeson
“The Patient” (Hulu)
Paul Walter Hauser ***
“Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
Richard Jenkins
“Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
Ray Liotta
“Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
Jesse Plemons
“Love & Death” (HBO) -
Supporting Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: HBO Olivia Cooke
“House of the Dragon” (HBO)
Jennifer Coolidge
“The White Lotus” (HBO)
Elizabeth Debicki
“The Crown” (Netflix)
Meghann Fahy
“The White Lotus” (HBO)
Lesley Manville
“The Crown” (Netflix)
Aubrey Plaza
“The White Lotus” (HBO)
Christina Ricci
“Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
J. Smith-Cameron ***
“Succession” (HBO) -
Supporting Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: ABC Alex Borstein
“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
Ayo Edebiri
“The Bear” (FX)
Sarah Goldberg
“Barry” (HBO)
Janelle James ***
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Sheryl Lee Ralph
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Hannah Waddingham
“Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
Lisa Ann Walter
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Jessica Williams
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+) -
Supporting Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: FX Olivia Colman
“Great Expectations” (Hulu)
Claire Danes
“Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)
Cherry Jones
“Five Days at Memorial” (Apple TV+)
Niecy Nash-Betts ***
“Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
Lily Rabe
“Love & Death” (HBO)
Merritt Wever
“Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu) -
Animated Program
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix “Big Mouth” (Netflix)
“Bob’s Burgers” (Fox)
“Entergalactic” (Netflix)
“The Simpsons” (Fox)
“South Park” (Comedy Central)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Talk Series
Image Credit: Scott Kowalchyk/CBS via Getty Images “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
“Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
“The Problem With Jon Stewart” (Apple TV+) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Scripted Variety Series
Image Credit: HBO “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
“Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO) ***
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Directing (Drama)
“Better Call Saul” (AMC)
Peter Gould, “Saul Gone”
“The Last of Us” (HBO)
Peter Hoar, “Long, Long Time”
“The Old Man” (FX)
Jon Watts, “I”
“Succession” (HBO) ***
Mark Mylod, “Connor’s Wedding”
“The White Lotus” (HBO)
Mike White, “Arrivederci”
“Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
Liz Garbus, “Qui”
“Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
Karyn Kusama, “TBA Episode 10”Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Directing (Comedy)
Image Credit: Matt Dinerstein/FX “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Randall Einhorn, “Development Day”
“Barry” (HBO) ***
Bill Hader, “TBA Episode 8”
“The Bear” (FX)
Christopher Storer, “System”
“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
Amy Sherman-Palladino, “TBA Episode 9”
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Rian Johnson, “Dead Man’s Hand”
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
James Ponsoldt, “Coin Flip”
“Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
Matt Lipsey, “Sunflowers”Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Directing (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Lacey Terrell/Prime Video “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
Michaël R. Roskam, “Pilot”
“Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
Paris Barclay, “God of Forgiveness, God of Vengeance”
“Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)
Nzingha Stewart, “Track 8: Looks Like We Made It”
“Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)
Valerie Faris & Jonathan Dayton, “Summon Your Witnesses”
“Love & Death” (HBO)
Lesli Linka Glatter, “TBA Episode”
“Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel) ***
Eric AppelEmmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Directing (Variety Series)
Image Credit: Lloyd Bishop/NBC/NBCU Photo Bank via Getty Images “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
Bridget Stokes, TBA Episode
“Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO)
Paul Pennolino, “Psychedelic Assisted Therapy”
“Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
Alexander J. Vietmeier, TBA Episode
“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
Jim Hoskinson, TBA Episode
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Liz Patrick, “Steve Martin and Martin Short/Brandi Carlile”Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Writing (Drama)
Image Credit: Credit: Natalie Seery “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
“The Prick” by Sharon Horgan, Dave Finkel, Brett Baer
“Better Call Saul” (AMC)
“Saul Gone” by Peter Gould
“The Last of Us” (HBO)
“Long, Long Time” by Craig Mazin
“Succession” (HBO) ***
“Connor’s Wedding” by Jesse Armstrong
“Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
“Qui” by Karen Joseph Adcock, Ameni Rozsa
“The White Lotus” (HBO)
“Arrivederci” by Mike WhiteEmmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Writing (Comedy)
Image Credit: FX “Abbott Elementary” (ABC) ***
“Development Day” by Quinta Brunson
“The Bear” (FX)
“System” by Christopher Storer
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
“Dead Man’s Hand” by Rian Johnson
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
“Coin Flip” by Bill Lawrence, Jason Segel, Brett Goldstein
“Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
“TBA Episode 34” by Brendan Hunt, Joe Kelly, Jason Sudeikis
“What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
“Private School” by Ayo Edebiri, Shana GohdEmmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Writing (Limited/Anthology/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Everett Collection “Black Bird” (Apple TV+) ***
“WhatsHerName” by Dennis Lehane, Steve Harris
“Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)
“Track 1: Come and Get It” by Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber
“Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX))
“Summon Your Witness” by Taffy Brodesser-Akner
“Love & Death” (HBO)
Series by David E. Kelley
“White House Plumbers” (HBO)
“TBA Episode” by Alex Gregory, Peter Huyck
“Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
Film Screenplay by Al Yankovic, Eric AppelEmmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Documentary or Nonfiction Series
Image Credit: Courtesy of Philippe Le Tellier/Paris Match via Getty Images “100 Foot Wave” (HBO)
“The 1619 Project” (Netflix)
“Harry & Meghan” (Netflix)
“The Last Movie Stars” (CNN) ***
“The U.S. and the Holocaust” (PBS)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Documentary or Nonfiction Special
Image Credit: Courtesy of Sundance Institute “Call Me Miss Cleo” (HBO)
“Judy Blume Forever” (Amazon Prime Video)
“Katrina Babies” (HBO)
“Pamela: A Love Story” (Netflix)
“Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie” (Apple TV+) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
Image Credit: CNN “Eva Longoria: Searching for Mexico” (CNN)
“My Next Guest with David Letterman and Volodymyr Zelenskyy” (Netflix)
“Somebody Feed Phil” (Netflix)
“Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy” (CNN) ***
“Vice” (Showtime)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Game Show
Image Credit: Netflix “Floor is Lava” (Netflix)
“Is It Cake?” (Netflix)
“Let’s Make a Deal” (CBS)
“Jeopardy” (ABC) ***
“The Price is Right” (CBS)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Reality Competition
“The Amazing Race” (CBS)
“The Circle” (Netflix)
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” (VH1) ***
“Top Chef” (Bravo)
“The Voice” (NBC)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Host for a Reality or Competition Program
Image Credit: Netflix “Queer Eye” (Netflix) ***
Bobby Berk, Karamo Brown, Tan Frace, Antoni Porowski, Jonathan Van Ness
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” (VH1)
RuPaul
“Shark Tank” (ABC)
Mark Cuban, Barbara Corcoran, Lori Greiner, Robert Herjavec, Daymond John, Kevin O’Leary
“Survivor” (CBS)
Jeff Probst
“Top Chef” (Bravo)
Padma LakshmiEmmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Structured Reality
Image Credit: Food Network “Antiques Roadshow” (PBS)
“Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” (Food Network)
“Love is Blind” (Netflix)
“Queer Eye” (Netflix) ***
“Shark Tank” (ABC)
“We’re Here” (HBO)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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Short Form (Comedy, Drama or Variety)
Image Credit: TERENCE PATRICK/NETFLIX “Carpool Karaoke” (Apple TV+)
“I Think You Should Leave with Tim Robinson” (Netflix) ***
“Late Night with Seth Meyers CORRECTIONS” (YouTube)
“That’s My Time with David Letterman” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>> coming soon
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TV Columns and Podcast Archives
Image Credit: Dan Doperalski for Variety Awards Circuit TV Columns & Exclusives
Awards Circuit Podcast (TV Season) Archives
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY SERIES | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | VARIETY SKETCH, SERIES, SPECIALS |
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTING, VOICE-OVER, SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
